Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 37 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

MercerUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 12 June 2026 at 00:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 16th strongest of the 27 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued June 11 at 6:01PM CDT until June 11 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO

Urban PEI: 295,979 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 11 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)37 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.80/1
Coordinates41.2000, -90.6856
Nearest CityRock Island (36 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)296.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-11T23:01:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e88a82d9ca7ed9b0efb0955763416b1c

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-11T23:01:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-11T23:06:36.082Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescShelby, MO; Fulton, IL; Peoria, IL; Lewis, MO; Marion, MO and 10 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued June 11 at 6:01PM CDT until June 11 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO
Expires2026-06-11T19:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS St Louis MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount13
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e88a82d9ca7ed9b0efb0955763416b1c25c876ee.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.790056c48af4a3e9c543e94649daa2e7dd71c55b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a89105e1ffc4bec68624d9ff636c7843eba5d427.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a5ac39e6dfc7fce3b02d414b295b665cab4169f9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9f34d223afb0199fd5ab174752b730f6a84e1dc6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ad544e78892711e9f60350496576a9da43d62340.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2a35c143636a22315ed06ba2ed8a77d823179e63.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0189287c5e480448184f603f9e1493b36edbd697.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6c7f01f04b92ddb6006f52b989ac29c2cfcc7b3d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a2d1f1bc6b133b576add9c2a7e0112fe1c600ad0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.57dd150d31602cbcc58b2318b819a6642fa46447.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.34d82db87d8d9af79e4d2cead0bd91127e2d7a87.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.41ce8c0edda1cadc161ae48ef860beeb125582b1.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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